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In a recent market analysis, the prominent crypto trader and analyst Michael van de Poppe delved into the potential impact of interest rate pauses and key resistance levels on the future of Bitcoin (BTC). In his video, van de Poppe predicted that BTC’s price could rise to above $38K in the coming weeks.
According to the analyst, the latest FOMC meeting minutes hinted at the possibility of interest rate pauses. He predicted that the pauses might occur in the next meeting or the one thereafter, which could potentially fuel the crypto market. This is due to the fact that a pause in interest rates is generally seen as positive for market sentiment.
Weekly chart for BTC/USDT (Source: TradingView)
Meanwhile, BTC has been struggling to break through the crucial resistance level at $30K. Van de Poppe emphasized the significance of the 200-week Moving Average (MA) and the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) beneath BTC’s price, indicating that these levels were crucial to monitor.
In his analysis, he stated that If BTC fails to close this week above these levels, a quick reclaim would be necessary before the cryptocurrency can climb up to $38.8K. The speed of reclamation would be a key factor in determining the potential price movement. Failure to recover back above the two lines could result in BTC’s price dropping to $20K.
Furthermore, the analyst discussed the impact of the strength of the dollar on BTC. From a macroeconomic perspective, a strong dollar is not favorable for BTC. Van de Poppe mentioned that the Dollar Index may experience a relief rally, but noted that it is approaching a key resistance level and remains in a medium-term downtrend.
If the US index breaks above this resistance, BTC could experience a downward movement and drop toward the aforementioned $20K mark. However, the outcome would depend on upcoming fundamental market data for the next few weeks, which the analyst believed would be bearish for the dollar and potentially beneficial for BTC.
At press time, CoinMarketCap indicated that BTC was trading at $26,439.31 following a 0.80% increase in the past 24 hours. During this time, the market leader was outperformed by Ethereum (ETH), however, and was down against the leading altcoin by 0.66%.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions, as well as all the information shared in this price analysis, are published in good faith. Readers must do their own research and due diligence. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Coin Edition and its affiliates will not be held liable for any direct or indirect damage or loss.